Ir para o menu de navegação principal Ir para o conteúdo principal Ir para o rodapé

Artigos de Pesquisa

v. 11 (2023): Publicação Contínua

O Redutor Keynesiano

DOI
https://doi.org/10.30800/mises.2023.v11.1462
Enviado
maio 31, 2022
Publicado
2023-08-24

Resumo

O multiplicador de gastos keynesiano é comumente visto como um mecanismo que amplifica a política fiscal ou monetária expansionista. Uma vez que as suposições nas quais o multiplicador se baseia são aplicadas à equação quantitativa clássica, no entanto, torna-se óbvio que o multiplicador keynesiano é muito mais pessimista a esse respeito do que a equação quantitativa. À luz dessa comparação, faz muito mais sentido falar do “diminuidor” keynesiano do que do “multiplicador”. A razão para o viés pessimista do multiplicador pode ser mais bem detectada se for feita a distinção entre uma medida de política expansionista pontual e uma permanente. É apenas por causa desse viés pessimista que o “multiplicador” keynesiano pode ser usado para justificar programas de gastos permanentes do governo.

Referências

  1. ABAY-NEUBAUER, Julius. Der wirtschaftliche Kreislauf auf geldlicher und sachlicher Grundlage (II). Journal of Contextual Economics, Berlin, v. 81, n. 6, p. 81-99, 1961. https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.81.6.81 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.81.6.81
  2. ABAY-NEUBAUER, Julius. Investitionen und Wachstum. Journal of Contextual Economics, Berlin, v. 85, n. 5, p. 557-573, 1965. https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.85.5.557 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3790/schm.85.5.557
  3. ACKLEY, Gardner. The multiplier time period: money, inventories, and flexibility. The American Economic Review, Nashville, v. 41, n. 3, p. 350-368, 1951.
  4. ALFORD, R. F. G. A taxonomic note on the multiplier and income velocity. Economica, Chichester, v. 27, n. 105, p. 53-62, 1960. https://doi.org/10.2307/2551427 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2551427
  5. ANGELL, James W. Investment and business cycles. New York: McGraw-Hill, 1941.
  6. ASIMAKOPULOS, Athanasios. Finance, liquidity, saving, and investment. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Philadelphia, v. 9, n. 1, p. 79-90, 1986. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1986.11489601 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1986.11489601
  7. BRAUN, Eduard; ERLEI, Mathias. Über die Relevanz der Entstehungsgeschichte von Krisen. Jahrbuch Normative und institutionelle Grundfragen der Ökonomik, [s. l.], v. 13, p. 241-267, 2014. Disponível em: http://www.plurale-oekonomik-hamburg.de/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Braun-Erlei-2015-Ueber_die_Relevanz_der_Entstehungsgeschichte_von_Krisen.pdf Acesso em: 10 maio 2023.
  8. CHICK, Victoria. The multiplier and finance. In: HARCOURT, Geoffrey C.; RIACH, Peter A. (org.). A second edition of the general theory. Abingdon: Routledge, 1997. v. 1, p. 164-182.
  9. COLANDER, David. Teaching Keynes in the 21st century. Journal of Economic Education, Philadelphia, v. 30, n. 4, p. 364-372, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220489909596093 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220489909596093
  10. COTTRELL, Allin. Endogenous money and the multiplier. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Philadelphia, v. 17, n. 1, p. 111-120, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1994.11490012 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1994.11490012
  11. CULHAM, James; KING, John E. Horizontalists and verticalists after 25 years. Review of Keynesian Economics, Cheltenham, v. 1, n. 4, p. 391-405, 2013. https://doi.org/10.4337/roke.2013.04.02 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4337/roke.2013.04.02
  12. DALZIEL, Paul. The keynesian multiplier, liquidity preference, and endogenous money. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Philadelphia, v. 18, n. 3, p. 311-331, 1996. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1996.11490075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1996.11490075
  13. ELLIS, Howard S. Notes on the demand for money. Kyklos, Chichester, v. 15, n. 1, p. 216-230, 1962. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1962.tb00058.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6435.1962.tb00058.x
  14. GECHERT, Sebastian. Der Multiplikator in einer Kreditgeldwirtschaft. In: KROMPHARDT, Jürgen (ed.). Keynes' general theory nach 75 jahren. Marburg: Metropolis, 2012. p. 163-186.
  15. HARTWIG, Jochen. Three views of the multiplier. In: ROCHON, Louis-Philippe; GNOS, Claude (ed.). The keynesian multiplier. Abingdon: Routledge, 2008. p. 9-31.
  16. HAYWOOD, Charles F. Hoarding, velocity, and financial intermediaries. Southern Economic Journal, Hoboken, v. 26, n. 1, p. 33-43, 1959. https://doi.org/10.2307/1055865 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1055865
  17. KAHN, Richard Ferdinand. The relation of home investment to unemployment. The Economic Journal, Oxford, v. 41, n. 162, p. 173-198, 1931. https://doi.org/10.2307/2223697 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2223697
  18. KEYNES, John Maynard. The general theory of employment, interest, and money. New York: Macmillan and Co., 1936.
  19. KRAUS, Otto. Konjunktur und Beschäftigung. München: Max Hueber, 1954.
  20. KRUGMAN, Paul. Mr Keynes and the moderns. VoxEU, London, 21 jun. 2011a. Disponível em: https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/mr-keynes-and-moderns Acesso em: 10 maio 2023.
  21. KRUGMAN, Paul. The profession and the crisis. Eastern Economic Journal, London, v. 37, p. 307-312, 2011b. https://doi.org/10.1057/eej.2011.8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/eej.2011.8
  22. LAMBSDORFF, Johann Graf. Savings and investments: an old debate in times of trouble. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Philadelphia, v. 33, n. 4, p. 645-666, 2011. https://doi.org/10.2753/PKE0160-3477330406 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2753/PKE0160-3477330406
  23. LEIJONHUFVUD, Axel. Did Keynes mean anything? Rejoinder to Yeager. Cato Journal, Washington, DC, v. 8, n. 1, p. 209-217, 1988.
  24. LUTZ, Friedrich August. The outcome of the saving-investment discussion. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Cary, v. 52, n. 4, p. 588-614, 1938. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885035 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1885035
  25. LUTZ, Vera. Multiplier and velocity analysis: a marriage. Economica, Chichester, v. 22, n. 85, p. 29-44, 1955. https://doi.org/10.2307/2551727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2551727
  26. MAHR, Alexander. Einige Grundprobleme der Theorie der wachsenden Wirtschaft. Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie, Wien, v. 16, n. 3/4, p. 301-323, 1956. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01338758 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01338758
  27. MAHR, Alexander. National money income and real market product. Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie, Wien, v. 24, n. 1/2, p. 1-21, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01319891 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01319891
  28. MAYER, Thomas. Multiplier and Velocity Analysis: An Evaluation. Journal of Political Economy v. 72. N. 6, p. 563-574, 1964. https://doi.org/10.1086/258963 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/258963
  29. MEADE, James. The keynesian revolution. In: KEYNES, Milo (ed.). Essays on John Maynard Keynes. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1975. p. 82-88.
  30. MEADE, James. The relation of Mr Meade's relation to Kahn's multiplier. The Economic Journal, Oxford, v. 103, n. 418, p. 664-665, 1993. https://doi.org/10.2307/2234538 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2234538
  31. MOORE, Basil J. Horizontalists and verticalists: the macroeconomics of credit money. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1988.
  32. MOORE, Basil J. The demise of the keynesian multiplier revisited. In: ROCHON, Louis-Philippe; GNOS, Claude (ed.). The keynesian multiplier. Abingdon: Routledge, 2008. p. 120-126.
  33. MOORE, Basil J. The demise of the keynesian multiplier: a reply to Cottrell. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Philadelphia, v. 17, n. 1, p. 121-133, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1994.11490013 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/01603477.1994.11490013
  34. PALLEY, Thomas I. The twin circuits: aggregate demand and the expenditure multiplier in a monetary economy. Review of Radical Political Economics, Thousand Oaks, v. 30, n. 3, p. 91-101, 1998. https://doi.org/10.1177/048661349803000310 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/048661349803000310
  35. PARGUEZ, Alain. The intertemporal transmission of money in the endogenous monetary economy. In: ROCHON, Louis-Philippe; GNOS, Claude (ed.). The keynesian multiplier. Abingdon: Routledge, 2008. p. 106-119.
  36. ROCHON, Louis-Philippe. The creation and circulation of endogenous money: a circuit dynamique approach. Journal of Economic Issues, New York, v. 33, n. 1, p. 1-21, 1999. https://doi.org/10.1080/00213624.1999.11506132 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00213624.1999.11506132
  37. ROTHBARD, Murray Newton. Man, economy, and state: a treatise on economic principles. With power and market: government and the economy. 2nd. ed. Auburn, AL: Ludwig von Mises Institute, 2009. Disponível em: https://cdn.mises.org/man_economy_and_state_with_power_and_market_3.pdf Acesso em: 10 maio 2023.
  38. SAMUELSON, Paul A. Fiscal policy and income determination. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Cary, v. 56, n. 4, p. 575-605, 1942. https://doi.org/10.2307/1883411 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1883411
  39. SMITH, Dan Throop. Deficits and depressions. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1936.
  40. TREVITHICK, James Anthony. The monetary prerequisites for the multiplier: an adumbration of the crowding-out hypothesis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford, v. 18, p. 77-90, 1994. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035264 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035264
  41. TSIANG, Sho-Chieh. Liquidity preference and loanable funds theories, multiplier and velocity analyses: a synthesis. The American Economic Review, Nashville, v. 46, n. 4, p. 539-564, 1956. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-701721-1.50007-7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-701721-1.50007-7
  42. VEIT, Otto. Reale Theorie des Geldes. Tübingen: Mohr Siebeck, 1966.

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.